2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 4 HRs · 5 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 6 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 7 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 8 Colton Cowser 4 HRs · 9 Pete Alonso 4 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Riley Greene 4 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 4 HRs · 5 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 6 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 7 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 8 Colton Cowser 4 HRs · 9 Pete Alonso 4 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Riley Greene 4 HRs
Ben Williamson

Ben Williamson

RHB
TB · 49 appearances tracked
0
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
0.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
4.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.074
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#65
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.080
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
8th pctile
88.5
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
39th pctile
2.9%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
4th pctile
0.0% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
7th pctile
0
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
1th pctile
0.0%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
0.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
5.6%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
6th pctile
20
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
49
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
0
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#185.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
49 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-10 #216 Jake Bennett R/L * 9.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-09 #222 Payton Tolle R/L * 7.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-08 #116 Connelly Early R/L * 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-06 #224 Lake Bachar R/R * 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 #231 Troy Melton R/R * 5.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-02 #195 Jack Flaherty R/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 #230 Reid Detmers R/L * 10.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #217 Walbert Ureña R/R * 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #215 Gerrit Cole R/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-18 #204 Trevor Rogers R/L * 7.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-13 #132 Dylan Cease R/R * 6.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-12 #126 Patrick Corbin R/L * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-11 #65 Kevin Gausman R/R * 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-10 #224 Payton Tolle R/L * 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #214 Payton Tolle R/L * 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #180 Connelly Early R/L * 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-07 #142 Jake Bennett R/L * 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #155 Patrick Corbin R/L * 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #134 Kevin Gausman R/R * 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-03 #84 Tyler Mahle R/R * 12.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 #131 Landen Roupp R/R * 5.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 #123 Robbie Ray R/L * 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 #166 Tanner Bibee R/R * 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-27 #96 Parker Messick R/L * 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-26 #196 Simeon Woods Richardson R/R * 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 #239 Bailey Ober R/R 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 #230 Taj Bradley R/R 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 #226 Brandon Williamson R/L 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-21 #213 Chase Burns R/R 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 #162 Rhett Lowder R/R 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 #265 Paul Skenes R/R 5.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 #249 Bubba Chandler R/R 4.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 #139 Jordan Leasure R/R 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 #121 Michael King R/R 2.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-13 #74 Mike Burrows R/R 2.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 #232 Lance McCullers Jr. R/R 2.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 #240 Luis Gil R/R 2.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-08 #240 MacKenzie Gore R/L 2.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 #240 Nathan Eovaldi R/R 2.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 #204 Jacob deGrom R/R 2.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 #221 Ryan Johnson R/R 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-04 #194 Jack Kochanowicz R/R 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-01 #240 Cam Schlittler R/R 4.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-31 #213 Max Fried R/L 3.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-30 #220 Ryan Weathers R/L 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-29 #171 Slade Cecconi R/R 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 #244 Joey Cantillo · 4.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-27 #107 Gavin Williams · 4.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-26 #151 Tanner Bibee · 4.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·

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